Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Currency War – A Small Note


If any one who is following the Exchange Market news closely then those people would have come across this term “Currency War”.  Many news targets on China while US, Japan, UK themselves are also involved in the war silently.  I would like to put few links here which talks about the present currency wars:


Now back to the topic. Here I am going to start with the basics and then going to give some historical facts

What is currency War?

The Currency war is nothing but Competitive Devaluation.   The Competitive devaluation is a situation in International Affairs where countries compete with each other in order to achieve relatively low exchange rate for their currency.

Who Coined the Term Currency War?

The term “Currency Wars” was coined by Brazils Finance Minister Guido Mantega in 2010 in order to describe how Federal Reserve’s Quantitative easing was pushing up other countries currencies. He also pointed out the effort made by the United States and China to keep their currencies at the lowest value.

What is devaluation? What is the difference between devaluation and Depreciation?

When a government or its central bank deliberately make downward adjustments to its currency in foreign exchange market then it is known as devaluation. This largely happens in fixed exchange rate regime. Depreciation occurs when a currency loses its value due to market forces.

Why one should care or worry about devaluation (or Currency War)

The Currency War will lead to instability. Nations who succeed in devaluation often experience inflation, especially, when they are dependent on imports. While those nations which do not involve in currency war will experience higher unemployment since their export sectors will lose competitiveness (read above article no. 5 for more info). 
Some Historical facts
When one look at the history then the popular method of devaluation was reducing the intrinsic value of precious metals content in minted coinage; example the Roman Empire faced constant threats from barbarians, but they lacked finance to defend themselves, so successive emperors reduced the silver and copper contents in coins.

When Fiat Money came into existence (where the value is purely based on laws rather than intrinsic value of the content) government started simply print bank notes in large quantities. After the First World War Wiemar Germany went to print huge volumes of German Mark in order to cover its expenses which resulted to hyperinflation on a massive scale.

This is a small note on Currency Wars which may lead to serious economic crisis across the globe.